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Weekly Market Report & Predictions: Handy and Ultramax Sectors 8th September 2025

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Iakovos (Jack) Archontakis

Senior Maritime Strategy Consultant & Chartering Executive

& Commercial Director

TMC SHIPPING

In a world where volatility is the only constant, decoding the freight market requires more than just data—it demands insight, intuition, and strategic foresight.

This week’s report offers a sharp lens into the evolving dynamics of the Handysize and Ultramax sectors, with actionable intelligence for decision-makers navigating the global chartering landscape.

  1. 1.Handysize Sector Overview

US Gulf / US East Coast (USG/USEC)
A softening tone defined the week, as steady tonnage flow met tepid cargo demand. With mid-September lists expanding, a more balanced market is expected to emerge—potentially resetting the pace.

East Coast South America (ECSA)
After a slow start, momentum picked up midweek with fresh cargoes and firm fixtures. The bullish sentiment suggests a firming market ahead.

Northern Europe (Continent/NWE)
Initial stability gave way to a gradual loss of momentum. The outlook leans subdued, with limited upside unless fresh demand materializes.

Mediterranean
Demand erosion and rate pressure marked the week, especially in the Eastern basin. While the Western Med held steady, overall sentiment remains neutral heading into next week.

Middle East Gulf / India (MEG/India)
Sideways movement persisted amid sluggish activity. While next week may offer glimpses of mobility, current fundamentals suggest limited improvement.

Southeast Asia / Far East (SE Asia/FE)
Southern routes saw sparse cargoes and internal tonnage utilization. Northern areas fared better with steady activity. A cautiously optimistic tone is forecasted.

2. Ultramax Sector Overview

US Gulf / US East Coast (USG/USEC)
Healthy transatlantic demand and tight tonnage kept rates stable. Asia-bound trips saw softer returns, but overall market resilience is expected to continue.

East Coast South America (ECSA)
Muted demand across both poles of the region weighed on sentiment. West Africa offered partial support, but not enough to reverse the trend. Stabilization is likely, buoyed by Panamax projections.

Northern Europe (Continent/NWE)
Scrap cargoes led the charge, sustaining positive momentum across key routes. The coming week looks promising.

Mediterranean
Mirroring the Handysize trend, declining demand and bearish sentiment in the East dragged rates down. A neutral tone is expected to persist.

South Africa
Minor fluctuations and limited cargo availability kept the market flat. No major shifts anticipated in the short term.

Middle East Gulf / India (MEG/India)
A stable week with India showing oversupply while the Gulf remained balanced. As monsoon season wanes, increased activity is on the horizon.

Southeast Asia / Far East (SE Asia/FE)
Cargo scarcity drove rates lower. A midweek pause offered brief stability, but the downward trend resumed. Demand revival is key to reversing course.

Final Thoughts

In a market shaped by nuance and regional divergence, staying ahead requires more than reactive strategy—it demands proactive intelligence.

As we move deeper into September, the interplay between supply chains, seasonal shifts, and geopolitical undercurrents will continue to shape freight dynamics.

Disclaimer

This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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